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Blindside : How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in

BLINDSIDE. How to Anticipate. Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics. Francis Fukuyama, editor. An American Interest Book brookings institution press. Washington, D.C. ...

Z5220E.pdf

A Review Essay on Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and

Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics. Joshua J. Yates. Fukuyama, Francis, ed . Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild. Cards in Global Politics. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2007. Why didn't intelligence experts anticipate the sudden collapse of the Soviet Union and sudden end of the Cold ...

ReviewEssay_Yates.pdf

Scenario Construction and Its Implications for International Relations

Policymakers Be Both Bold and Careful?” in Francis Fukuyama (eds.), Blindside: How to. Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics (New York: Basic Books, 2007), p. 110. Also Louis Albrechts depicts scenarios as “a narrative description of a possible state of affairs or development over time of a place” in ...

9_1_02.pdf

U.S. Intelligence Estimates of the Soviet Collapse: Reality and

Feb 29, 2008 ... which appeared as a chapter in Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing. Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics, F. Fukuyama, eds. (Washington,. DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2007) was adapted and reprinted with permission of the publisher. All statements of fact, opinion, or analysis expressed are those ...

20080229.pdf

Known Unknowns: Unconventional "Strategic Shocks" in Defense

An Introduction,” in Francis Fukuyama, ed., Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics, An. American Interest Book, Washington DC: Brookings Institution. Press, 2007, p. 1; and Francis Fukuyama, “ Chapter 15: Afterward,” in ibid., p. 170. Both Fukuyama and Schwartz suggest that 9/11.

PUB890.pdf

Foresight Work as Bridge Building: Poetry, Presence and Beyond

Ahead of the Curve: Anticipating Strategic. Surprise. In F. Fukuyama (Ed.), Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics (pp . 93-108).Washington ,DC: Brookings. Institution. Senge, P., Scharmer, C. O., Jaworski, J., & Flowers, B. S. (2004). Presence: Explor- ing Profound Change in People, ...

174-E02.pdf

Collaborative Resilience: Moving Through Crisis to Opportunity

Community wild- fire events as a source of social conflict. Rural Sociology 71 : 261 – 280 . Fukuyama , F. 2007 . Blindside: How to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics. Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press . Fullilove , M. 2004 . Root shock: Upheaval, resettlement and recovery in urban. America.

9780262016537_sch_0001.pdf

Building a National Security Program at a Small School: Identifying

Jan 26, 2016 ... 1989. “The End of History?” The National Interest 16: 3–18. Fukuyama, Francis. 2008. Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global. Politics. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press. Goodman, Melvin A. 2003. “9/11: The Failure of Strategic Intelligence.” Intelligence and National.

Building-a-National-Security-Program-at-a-Small-School--Grossman---Schortgen--2016--4578.pdf

Closing the U.S. Strategic Gap in Icebreaker Capacity

Aug 4, 2017 ... performed by non-government-owned vessels, “inherently governmental missions of the Coast. 62 Peter Schwartz & Doug Randall, “Ahead of The Curve: Anticipating Strategic Surprise,” in Blindside: How To Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards In Global Politics (Francis Fukuyama, ed. 2007), at 93–.

closinggapinicebreakercapacity.pdf

Building adaptive capacity in South East Queensland, Australia

Jan 16, 2013 ... sustainability issues. Manag Environ Quality 21(2):187–197. Landes D (2007) Slow surprise: the dynamics of technology synergy. In: Fukuyama F (ed) Blindside: how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics. Brookings Institution Press,. Washington, DC, pp 23–28. Lee K (1993) Compass  ...

s10113-012-0394-2.pdf

Looking back on looking forward: a review of evaluative scenario

Blindside: How to Anticipate. Forcing Events and Wild Cards in. Global Politics. Brookings. Institution Press,. Washington DC,. 109–119. This essay notes that traditional scenario approaches can have significant impacts when used with small groups of decision‑makers known well to the scenario planners. But these same ...

Looking_back_on_looking_forward.pdf

Development Economics through the decades

Portugal-Pérez, Alberto, and John S. Wilson. 2008. “Trade Costs in Africa: Bar- riers and Opportunities for Reform.” Policy Research Working Paper 4619,. World Bank, Washington, DC. Posner, Richard A. 2007. “Thinking about Catastrophe.” In Blindside: How to. Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics,  ...

9780821372555_bm.pdf

SENSEMAKING

Sep 11, 2001 ... general public may purchase a copy from the Government Printing Office ..... of nation-states to trans-national groups or irregular forces. In the world of the national-state, I and others divided intelligence problems into puzzles and ... times disaggregating events, sometimes aggregating multiple perspectives,.

Sensemaking.pdf

Marine Corps Intelligence Forecasting: A Way Forward

Apr 30, 2012 ... v U.S. Joint Forces Command, The Joint Operating Environment 2010 ( Washington, DC: February 18, 2010), 4. vi LtCol Drew Cukor, interview with author. vii Francis Fukuyama, ed., Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics. (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, ...

c60827c4db4bc2b30507bbef34076fbbf5ff.pdf

Comparing Alternative U.S. Counterterrorism Strategies: Can

Feb 12, 2008 ... TaggedPage/TaggedPageDisplay.cfm&TPLID=139&ContentID=8866. Lempert, Robert J., “Can Scenarios Help Policymakers Be Both Bold and Careful?” in Francis Fukuyama, ed.,. Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics, Washington, D.C.: Brookings. Institution Press ...

RAND_DB548.pdf

Too Big for Administrative Law

Dec 9, 2016 ... 190. RICHARD A. POSNER, CATASTROPHE 171–86 (2004); Richard A. Posner, Thinking About. Catastrophe, in FRANCIS FUKUYAMA, BLINDSIDE: HOW TO ANTICIPATE FORCING EVENTS AND. WILD CARDS IN GLOBAL POLITICS 7– 19 (2007). 191. E.g., RICHARD FRIBERG, MANAGING RISK AND ...

Adam-J.-White-Too-Big-for-Administrative-Law-v3-Conference-Version.pdf

прогноз угроз международной безопасности россии в 2017 году1

In 'Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild. Cards in Global Politics'. Fukuyama F., ed. NY.: Brookings Institution Press, 2007. Pp. 29-41. 8. Bremmer I., Kupchan C. Top Risks – 2017: the. Geopolitical Recession. Eurasia Group. URL: http://www.eurasiagroup.net/files/upload/. Top_Risks_2017_Report.pdf (дата ...

013_bezr.pdf

концептуальные основы и эффекты Форсайт-исследований:

28 сен 2013 ... (2007) Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics. Washington, DC: Brookings. Institution Press. Gershon D. (2009) Social Change 2.0: A Blueprint for Reinventing Our World. New York: High Point. Godet M. (2010) Future Memories // Technological Forecasting & Social ...

6-Bussey-64-73.pdf

Al Qaeda's Third Front: Saudi Arabia - Spring 2008

1731 (October 3, 2007), http://memri.org/bin/ar- ticles.cgi? PagesarchivesFAreassdFIDsSP173107. 11. Gal Luft and Anne Korin, »In Search of Energy Security,¼ in Blindside: How to Antici- pate Forcing Events and Wild Cards in Global Politics, ed. Francis Fukuyama (Washing- ton, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press, 2007), p.

spring_al_qaeda_riedel.pdf

Democracy in the 21st Century: Global Questions

(2007) Blindside: How to Anticipate Forcing Events and Wildcards in. Global Politics. Washington DC.: Brookings. Ginsborg, P. (2005) Silvio Berlusconi: Television, Power and Patrimony. London: Verso. Guha, R. (2007) India after Gandhi: The History of the World's Largest Democracy. London: Pan. Gyngell, A. and Wesley, ...

2010_jk_21stcenturydemocracy.pdf